Is COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu (c.1103C>T) pathogenic?

COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu (c.1103C>T) is classified Uncertain significance in COL2A1 (ClinVar, Multiple submitters, 2 submitters; last evaluated 2023-04-10). AlphaMissense: likely benign (0.3075); Very rare (popmax 0.00167%, amr).

How common is COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu (c.1103C>T) in the general population?

COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu (c.1103C>T) is very rare (popmax 0.00167%, amr) (gnomAD).

What do computational predictors say about COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu (c.1103C>T)?

AlphaMissense predicts likely benign (score 0.3075) — an in-silico prediction, not a clinical call.

COL2A1 p.Pro368Leu

c.1103C>T · rs1219147595 · VCV2440287

Uncertain significance Multiple submitters

Classification

Uncertain significance

ClinVar

Review

Multiple submitters ★★☆☆

ClinVar · 2 submitters

AlphaMissense

likely benign

0.3075 · ACMG-weighted

gnomAD v4.1

Rare

very rare (popmax 0.00167%, amr)

Missense predictors

2/3 damaging

AlphaMissense, REVEL, SaProt

Computational evidence

Protein change
AlphaMissense	0.3075	likely benign
REVEL	0.805	moderately pathogenic-leaning
SaProt	LLR -12.08	damaging
⇒ REVEL and SaProt call this damaging; AlphaMissense does not.
Splicing
SpliceAI	—	not assessed · no allele here is in the release
Constraint at this position
Conservation	phyloP 12	GERP 1.6, phastCons 1
Regional constraint	o/e 0.62	unconstrained · MANE · 21 kb · p 2.4e-45 · regional, not allelic
Overall
CADD	28.1	PHRED · no single calibrated threshold — expert panels disagree

AlphaMissense carries the ACMG weight for missense; REVEL and SaProt are independent agreement signals.

Population frequency

gnomAD v4.1 · exomes + genomes

Grpmax group 0.00167% Admixed American · 1/59,920 alleles

Overall 6.85e-05% 1/1,460,640 alleles · very rare

Rarity supports pathogenicity (ACMG PM2); frequency above a disease-specific BA1/BS1 threshold argues against it. A variant frequent in one ancestry group can be near-absent in others, so a single global figure can mislead.

Variant & gene context

Gene: COL2A1
Protein: p.Pro368Leu
Coding: c.1103C>T
MANE Select: NM_001844
dbSNP: rs1219147595
Type: single nucleotide variant
Location: chr12:47989247 (GRCh38)
Gene constraint: LOEUF 0.183 · pLI 1.00 · ClinGen HI 3/3 (gnomAD)
Structure: AlphaFold pLDDT 53.56 · 11 PDB
Residue 368: the 'disordered' region; the 'triple-helical region' region

Full COL2A1 gene report on Sugi Atlas → Gene function, pathways, protein structure, interactions & more

Similar variants

COL2A1 p.Pro368His Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same residue
COL2A1 p.Pro368Thr Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same residue
COL2A1 c.1023+1G>A Pathogenic ★★ same type
COL2A1 c.1024-2A>C Pathogenic ★★ same type
COL2A1 c.1069-2A>G Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same type
COL2A1 c.1221+1G>A Pathogenic ★★ same type
COL2A1 c.1222-2A>G Pathogenic ★★ same type
COL2A1 c.1365+1G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same type

Built on 18 open, versioned datasets — ClinVar, gnomAD, AlphaMissense, REVEL, ClinGen & more — plus Sugi Variant's own cross-source analysis. Source data 2026-01–2026-10, ClinVar 2026-10. Full sources & versions →

Cite Sugi Variant

Gür T. Sugi Variant: A Deterministic Per-Variant Germline Reference from a Knowledge Graph for Humans and AI Agents. 2026. doi:10.5281/zenodo.21509445. This variant: https://sugi.bio/variant/col2a1-p-pro368leu (accessed [today's date]).

Preprint & method: sugi.bio/variant/method Machine-readable: this page as Markdown