Conflicting classifications of pathogenicity
Conflicting submitters
Classification
Conflicting classifications of pathogenicity
ClinVar
Review
Conflicting submitters ★☆☆☆
ClinVar · 3 submitters
gnomAD v4.1
Rare
rare (popmax 0.201%, eas)
Conditions
2
type 2 collagenopathy
Computational evidence
| Protein change | ||
| Missense predictors do not apply to this variant type; conservation carries the signal. | ||
| Splicing | ||
| SpliceAI | <0.2 | all four deltas below 0.2 · G>T here scores Δ0.23 · evaluated, not missing |
|---|---|---|
| Constraint at this position | ||
| Conservation | phyloP -9.4 | GERP -3.5 |
| Overall | ||
| CADD | 2.501 | PHRED · no single calibrated threshold — expert panels disagree |
Population frequency
gnomAD v4.1 · exomes + genomes
Grpmax group
0.201%
East Asian · 90/44,864 alleles
Filtering AF
0.167%
ClinGen BA1/BS1 input
FAF95, joint · FAF99 0.155%
Overall
0.00654%
105/1,606,620 alleles · rare
| Ancestry group | Frequency | 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| East Asiangrpmax | 0.201% | 498 |
| African / African-American | 0.00267% | 37,510 |
| South Asian | 0.0022% | 45,535 |
| Remaining individualsnot grpmax-eligible | 0.0016% | 62,460 |
| European (non-Finnish) | 0.000847% | 117,996 |
Rarity supports pathogenicity (ACMG PM2); frequency above a disease-specific BA1/BS1 threshold argues against it. A variant frequent in one ancestry group can be near-absent in others, so a single global figure can mislead.
Variant & gene context
- Gene
- COL2A1
- Protein
- p.Ser1221=
- Coding
- c.3663C>T
- MANE Select
- NM_001844
- dbSNP
- rs2276459
- Type
- single nucleotide variant
- Location
- chr12:47975540 (GRCh38)
- Gene constraint
- LOEUF 0.183 · pLI 1.00 · ClinGen HI 3/3 (gnomAD)
- Structure
- AlphaFold pLDDT 53.56 · 11 PDB
- Residue 1221
- the 'disordered' region; the 'nonhelical region (c-terminal)' region
Similar variants
- COL2A1 p.Ser1221Cys Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same residue
- COL2A1 p.Ser1221Phe Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same residue
- COL2A1 c.1222-2A>G Pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1365+1G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1420-2A>G Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1527+135G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1581+1G>A Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1833+1G>A Pathogenic ★★ same condition
Built on 18 open, versioned datasets — ClinVar, gnomAD, AlphaMissense, REVEL, ClinGen & more — plus Sugi Variant's own cross-source analysis. Source data 2026-01–2026-10, ClinVar 2026-10. Full sources & versions →
Cite Sugi Variant
Gür T. Sugi Variant: A Deterministic Per-Variant Germline Reference from a Knowledge Graph for Humans and AI Agents. 2026. doi:10.5281/zenodo.21509445. This variant: https://sugi.bio/variant/col2a1-p-ser1221 (accessed [today's date]).
Preprint & method: sugi.bio/variant/method Machine-readable: this page as Markdown