Computational evidence
| Protein change | ||
| AlphaMissense | 0.0845 | likely benign |
|---|---|---|
| REVEL | 0.209 | benign-leaning |
| SaProt | LLR -5.91 | tolerated |
| ⇒ AlphaMissense, REVEL and SaProt all call this tolerated. | ||
| Splicing | ||
| SpliceAI | — | not assessed · no allele here is in the release |
| Constraint at this position | ||
| Conservation | phyloP 3.8 | GERP 0.18, phastCons 1 |
| Regional constraint | o/e 0.83 | unconstrained · MANE · 7,716 bp · p 0.0078 · regional, not allelic |
| Overall | ||
| CADD | 18.75 | PHRED · no single calibrated threshold — expert panels disagree |
AlphaMissense carries the ACMG weight for missense; REVEL and SaProt are independent agreement signals.
Population frequency
| Ancestry group | Frequency | 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| European (non-Finnish)grpmax | 84.3% | 1 |
| Middle Eastern | 83% | 1 |
| Ashkenazi Jewishnot grpmax-eligible | 79.6% | 1 |
| Remaining individualsnot grpmax-eligible | 79.5% | 1 |
| South Asian | 76.4% | 1 |
| Amishnot grpmax-eligible | 75.7% | 1 |
| Finnishnot grpmax-eligible | 75.7% | 1 |
| African / African-American | 66.1% | 2 |
| Admixed American | 60.3% | 2 |
| East Asian | 57.3% | 2 |
Rarity supports pathogenicity (ACMG PM2); frequency above a disease-specific BA1/BS1 threshold argues against it. A variant frequent in one ancestry group can be near-absent in others, so a single global figure can mislead.
Variant & gene context
- Gene
- COL2A1
- Protein
- p.Thr9Ser
- Coding
- c.25A>T
- MANE Select
- NM_001844
- dbSNP
- rs3803183
- Type
- single nucleotide variant
- Location
- chr12:48004297 (GRCh38)
- Gene constraint
- LOEUF 0.183 · pLI 1.00 · ClinGen HI 3/3 (gnomAD)
- Structure
- AlphaFold pLDDT 53.56 · 11 PDB
- Residue 9
- a UniProt-annotated variant site (in)
Similar variants
- COL2A1 p.Thr9Arg Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same residue
- COL2A1 c.1222-2A>G Pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1365+1G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1420-2A>G Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1527+135G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1581+1G>A Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1833+1G>A Pathogenic ★★ same condition
- COL2A1 c.1887+1G>A Pathogenic/Likely pathogenic ★★ same condition
Built on 18 open, versioned datasets — ClinVar, gnomAD, AlphaMissense, REVEL, ClinGen & more — plus Sugi Variant's own cross-source analysis. Source data 2026-01–2026-10, ClinVar 2026-10. Full sources & versions →
Cite Sugi Variant
Gür T. Sugi Variant: A Deterministic Per-Variant Germline Reference from a Knowledge Graph for Humans and AI Agents. 2026. doi:10.5281/zenodo.21509445. This variant: https://sugi.bio/variant/col2a1-p-thr9ser (accessed [today's date]).
Preprint & method: sugi.bio/variant/method Machine-readable: this page as Markdown