Is MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro (c.98G>C) pathogenic?

MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro (c.98G>C) is classified Uncertain significance in MAPK15 (ClinVar, Single submitter, 1 submitter; last evaluated 2025-05-21). AlphaMissense: likely pathogenic (0.5679); Very rare (popmax 0.00267%, afr).

How common is MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro (c.98G>C) in the general population?

MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro (c.98G>C) is very rare (popmax 0.00267%, afr) (gnomAD).

What do computational predictors say about MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro (c.98G>C)?

AlphaMissense predicts likely pathogenic (score 0.5679) — an in-silico prediction, not a clinical call.

MAPK15 p.Arg33Pro

c.98G>C · VCV4051573

Uncertain significance Single submitter

Classification

Uncertain significance

ClinVar

Review

Single submitter ★☆☆☆

ClinVar · 1 submitter

AlphaMissense

likely pathogenic

0.5679 · ACMG-weighted

gnomAD v4.1

Rare

very rare (popmax 0.00267%, afr)

Missense predictors

2/2 damaging

AlphaMissense, SaProt · REVEL indeterminate

Computational evidence

Protein change
AlphaMissense	0.5679	likely pathogenic
REVEL	0.519	indeterminate
SaProt	LLR -14.25	damaging
⇒ AlphaMissense and SaProt both call this damaging; REVEL is indeterminate.
Splicing
SpliceAI	—	not assessed · no allele here is in the release
Constraint at this position
Conservation	phyloP 2.9	GERP -0.59, phastCons 1
Regional constraint	o/e 1.09	unconstrained · MANE · 5,870 bp · p 0.014 · regional, not allelic
Overall
CADD	24.1	PHRED · no single calibrated threshold — expert panels disagree

ClinVar classifies this uncertain; the computational predictors unanimously lean damaging — a triage signal, not a reclassification

AlphaMissense carries the ACMG weight for missense; REVEL and SaProt are independent agreement signals.

Population frequency

gnomAD v4.1 · exomes + genomes

Grpmax group 0.00267% African / African-American · 2/74,892 alleles

Filtering AF 0.000443% ClinGen BA1/BS1 input FAF95, joint · FAF99 0.000166%

Overall 0.000124% 2/1,611,374 alleles · very rare exomes 0/1,459,210 · genomes 2/152,164 · joint denominator

Rarity supports pathogenicity (ACMG PM2); frequency above a disease-specific BA1/BS1 threshold argues against it. A variant frequent in one ancestry group can be near-absent in others, so a single global figure can mislead.

Variant & gene context

Gene: MAPK15
Protein: p.Arg33Pro
Coding: c.98G>C
MANE Select: NM_139021
Type: single nucleotide variant
Location: chr8:143717725 (GRCh38)
Gene constraint: LOEUF 1.344 · pLI <0.01 (gnomAD)
Structure: AlphaFold pLDDT 69.56
Residue 33: the protein kinase domain

Full MAPK15 gene report on Sugi Atlas → Gene function, pathways, protein structure, interactions & more

Similar variants

MAPK15 p.Arg496Trp Uncertain significance ★★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ser192Ter Likely benign ★★ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala179Thr Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala251Val Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala295Thr Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala40Val Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala436Ser Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type
MAPK15 p.Ala436Val Uncertain significance ★ ⚠ same type

Built on 18 open, versioned datasets — ClinVar, gnomAD, AlphaMissense, REVEL, ClinGen & more — plus Sugi Variant's own cross-source analysis. Source data 2026-01–2026-10, ClinVar 2026-10. Full sources & versions →

Cite Sugi Variant

Gür T. Sugi Variant: A Deterministic Per-Variant Germline Reference from a Knowledge Graph for Humans and AI Agents. 2026. doi:10.5281/zenodo.21509445. This variant: https://sugi.bio/variant/mapk15-p-arg33pro (accessed [today's date]).

Preprint & method: sugi.bio/variant/method Machine-readable: this page as Markdown